|
ARTICLES
5 MINUTE
UNIVERSITY
ONLINE COURSES and
ORIENTATION VIDEO
HOW TO FOWARD YOUR IVC EMAIL ACCOUNT
CLASS
PICTURES
CWE
(Cooperative Work Experience)
MICRO
SYLLABUS
MACRO SYLLABUS
MACRO
PREDICTIONS
STATS
FOR
BUSINESS & ECONOMICS
OC COLI
INSTRUCTOR BIO
ECONOMIC
LINKS
ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT
HOME PAGE
IVC HOME
PAGE
MARTHA STUFFLER'S HOME PAGE
| |
| |
|
Congress Should Support Free Trade with Central America and
the Dominican Republic
by Brett D. Schaefer and
Stephen Johnson
Backgrounder #1822
| February 8, 2005 | |
|
| |
 |
|
Despite
considerable challenges, the Bush Administration has made
significant progress in opening foreign markets for American goods
and services. Congress has approved free trade agreements with
Australia, Chile, Morocco, and Singapore.
Congress and
the Administration should be congratulated for approving accords
that will bring real benefits to producers and consumers in
America and its trading partners. Congress now has an opportunity
to follow up on these achievements by approving the Dominican
Republic and Central American Free Trade Agreement (DR–CAFTA),
which includes the Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, El Salvador,
Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua.
While not a
perfect free trade agreement, DR– CAFTA supports America’s
economic and political interests by reducing barriers to trade and
investment among all signatories. Moreover, the agreement would
lock in advances made toward economic liberalization in Central
America and the Dominican Republic and set a schedule for further
liberalization—policies that are linked to greater economic
growth and development. Increasing economic growth would bolster
political stability and help create jobs for workers who might
otherwise migrate illegally to the United States.
While the
Senate is expected to support DR– CAFTA, the agreement’s fate in
the House of Representatives is uncertain. Congress should waste
no time in approving DR–CAFTA, which will open overseas markets
for American businesses, protect the homeland by reducing the flow
of illegal immigrants, and help stabilize friendly, fledgling
democracies by facilitating trade with America.
The Economic
Case for DR–CAFTA
The Dominican
Republic, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and
Nicaragua are small countries that have an economic importance to
the United States that exceeds their size. Their combined gross
domestic product (GDP) was nearly $73 billion in 2003—roughly
equivalent to the GDP of New Zealand or Venezuela—with a combined
population just larger than Canada.[1]
Even so, total U.S. trade with them outstrips
that with Australia, Brazil, India, Russia, and many European
nations. Taken as a group, these six countries amounted to
America’s 13th largest trading partner in 2003 with total trade
of nearly $32 billion.[2]
Only Mexico was a larger U.S. trading partner
in Latin America ($236 billion in 2003). Moreover, trade with the
region is growing. The first 11 months of 2004 saw a $1.3 billion
increase in trade over the first 11 months of 2003.[3]
Seizing an
opportunity to enhance America’s mutually beneficial economic ties
with Central America and the Dominican Republic, the Bush
Administration concluded a free trade agreement with five Central
American countries in March 2004. This agreement—the Central
American Free Trade Agreement—was signed in May 2004. Negotiations
with the Dominican Republic were conducted separately, but the two
agreements were combined for congressional consideration into the
Dominican Republic–Central American Free Trade Agreement. DR–CAFTA
was signed on August 5, 2004.
DR–CAFTA is
not perfect. Among other things, a perfect free trade agreement
would immediately liberalize trade in all goods and services. As
with every other free trade agreement, DR–CAFTA has made
concessions to political pressures in the U.S. and its prospective
free trade partners. While a large majority of tariffs are
eliminated upon enactment, some tariffs will be phased out over a
period of years (in a few cases, over 20 years), and some sectors
are not fully liberalized or are excluded (notably sugar and
textiles).[4]
But while the
flaws of DR–CAFTA are worth noting, they are far outweighed by the
agreement’s considerable economic benefits. Specifically, DR–CAFTA
would help America, the Dominican Republic, and the countries of
Central America in four ways.
Elimination
of Barriers to Goods, Services, and Agricultural Commodities.
According to the World Bank’s
World Development Indicators 2004, the weighted average tariff
rates in the DR–CAFTA countries are significantly higher than
America’s 2.6 percent. Specifically, the most recent data
available list weighted average tariffs of 10.1 percent in the
Dominican Republic, 5.8 percent in Costa Rica, 6.1 percent in El
Salvador, 5.8 percent in Guatemala, 7.3 percent in Honduras, and
2.3 percent in Nicaragua.[5]
DR–CAFTA would
“eliminate eighty percent of the tariffs immediately, with the
remaining tariffs phased out over 10 years,”[6]
including immediately reducing restrictions on
“80 percent of U.S. industrial exports and more than 50 percent
of agricultural exports to the region.”[7]
By committing the DR–CAFTA countries to
eliminating tariffs, the agreement would lower the cost of trade,
which would benefit consumers in all countries involved in the
agreement. America in particular would benefit from DR–CAFTA
because the Dominican Republic and Central America already have
preferential access to the U.S. market. The benefits to America
therefore come at very little cost.
Enhanced
Economic Opportunities in Central America and the Dominican
Republic. The DR–CAFTA
countries currently enjoy preferential access to the U.S. market.
According to the U.S. Trade Representative, “Eighty percent of DR–CAFTA
imports already enter the United States duty free.”[8]
This preferential access is through the Caribbean Basin Initiative
and the United States–Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership Act.
However, unlike a free trade agreement, this access is based
solely on U.S. law and can easily be changed or allowed to expire.
DR–CAFTA would
make permanent the trade preferences enjoyed by the Dominican
Republic and the Central American countries and expand that access
into new sectors. Permanent duty-free access to the U.S. is a
major incentive for investors and promises new opportunities for
existing businesses: America’s $9.5 trillion economy is more than
130 times the size of the combined DR– CAFTA economies.[9]
The agreement
also obligates the countries to remove trade and investment
barriers among themselves. Such access would help existing
businesses and encourage new industries in those countries to take
advantage of expanded opportunities in the region. However, the
biggest winners would be consumers and producers, who would be
able to purchase goods at cheaper prices—delivering an immediate
improvement in the standard of living and production capabilities
in DR–CAFTA countries.
Economic
Liberalization.
Evidence from the Index of Economic Freedom, published
annually by The Heritage Foundation and The Wall Street
Journal, reveals a clear relationship between economic
freedom and prosperity. Rigid labor policies, high regulation and
bureaucratic red tape, high official taxation, corruption, and
trade barriers are obstacles that create a drag on economic
growth. The greater the level of government intervention in the
economy, the lower the probability that individuals, investors,
and businesses will be able to prosper because costs on private
economic activity become higher. In addition, a market economy
cannot operate profitably without the supporting structure of the
rule of law.
DR–CAFTA would
liberalize economic policies in the Dominican Republic and
Central America and require their governments to enforce existing
laws. For instance, restrictions on U.S. investment in sectors
such as energy, finance, insurance, telecommunications,
transport, and tourism would be eliminated and protection for
U.S. patents, trademarks, and other intellectual property would be
enhanced.
By locking in
these liberal economic policies, DR– CAFTA offers investors
certainty that policies will not suddenly reverse—a key component
in investment decisions. Similarly, the U.S. is required to
liberalize its existing trade barriers. While broader economic
liberalization is necessary for the countries of Central America
and the Dominican Republic, DR–CAFTA moves participating countries
in the right direction and will yield economic benefits.
Improvement
in Labor and Environmental Standards.
One of the recurring criticisms
of free trade is that it discourages higher labor and
environmental standards. Economic studies show that the single
greatest cause of environmental degradation and low labor
standards is poverty. Wealthier societies are more likely to
demand and implement greater environmental and labor protections
because they can better afford the costs of those policies.[10]
They also show that the desire for such protection increases as
income grows. Economic liberalization is the most effective means
of increasing environmental and labor standards because countries
that embrace economic freedom—including free trade—experience
stronger economic growth than those that seek to thwart the market
through barriers to investment and trade.[11]
While DR–CAFTA
could be improved by accelerating tariff reductions and expanding
the agreement to cover all sectors, the time for negotiations is
past. The bottom line is that DR–CAFTA offers substantial
liberalization of trade and investment and encourages further
economic liberalization among America’s trade partners. These
policies open economic opportunities for the United States,
Central America, and the Dominican Republic and set the stage for
market-driven economic growth and development.
Protecting
America’s Future
It is in the
best interest of the United States to be surrounded by stable,
friendly neighbors that can control their territory and trade
goods in an open marketplace. Free trade agreements help remove
barriers to commerce, enabling countries to achieve the kind of
prosperity necessary for democracy, economic opportunity, and
stability to take root. It promotes economic growth so that
industries and jobs may proliferate, keeping migrant workers at
home. Growing economies provide tax revenues so that law
enforcement can protect citizens and curb transnational crime
threats such as drug and arms trafficking.
Support for
Stable, Democratic Governments.
In the 1970s, every Central
American country except Belize and Costa Rica was ruled by a
military dictator, supported by closed markets that protected
state and family-owned monopolies. Limits on political and
economic freedoms made the region vulnerable to Soviet-backed
guerrilla movements that would have challenged U.S. security. At
great cost to U.S. taxpayers, Washington confronted the Soviet
bloc both economically and diplomatically while helping Central
American democrats to defeat Marxist insurgencies with security
assistance and ballots.
Although the
transition to peace, elections, and more open markets has been
impressive, the transformation is by no means complete. DR–CAFTA
would promote further reform, offer market opportunities, and
signal a continuation of genuine U.S. interest in the region.
Jobs
Instead of Illegal Immigration.
Central America’s economies still
need help, but not the kind that development aid handouts can
provide. Some 57 percent of these countries’ citizens are
informally employed, and underemployment averages 51 percent
where data have been collected.[12]
Assembly plants that once thrived in Central America have moved to
China, where workers earn as little as 25 cents per hour without
workplace protections or labor standards. Meanwhile, families
seeking to put food on the table are migrating to the United
States.
DR–CAFTA is
essential to help provide work at home for Dominicans and Central
Americans, whose economies are struggling to become better
integrated into the global system and provide a more secure
environment for commerce. As much as President George W. Bush
intends for America to consolidate its “ownership society,” the
Dominican Republic and Central America should be encouraged to
establish their own.
Combating
Transnational Crime.
Crime rates in Central America are among the highest in the world
(154 murders per 100,000 inhabitants in Honduras in 1998), and
delinquent mobs affiliated with major U.S. gangs are
proliferating.[13]
Transnational drug and arms traffickers employ local delinquents
to support illicit operations, while the scarcity of jobs and
economic opportunity ensures a constant pool of recruits.
Growing
threats posed by local and transnational crime will destabilize
these fragile democracies and send ever-larger waves of migrants
northward—many at the mercy of gangs and human traffickers. Sadly,
most who reach their destination will be consigned to marginal
lives in the shadows of U.S. communities that do not have the
resources to support them. Economic growth and higher employment
rates abroad are crucial to confronting international crime.
The free trade
agreement with the Dominican Republic and Central America would
help to advance American interests in the region. Moreover, DR–CAFTA
would be a vital stepping-stone in constructing the Free Trade
Area of the Americas, which would integrate most of the economies
of the hemisphere and, in turn, advance American interests
throughout the region.
Challenges to
DR–CAFTA
DR–CAFTA faces
two major threats in Congress: opposition from protectionists in
the sugar and textile industries and those who want to use trade
agreements to force countries to adopt strict labor and
environmental standards. This opposition should be dismissed for
the following reasons.
Sugar and
Textiles. Despite
clear evidence that American consumers and the U.S. economy would
be better off if the sugar and textile industries were forced to
compete evenly with international rivals, these U.S. industries
have successfully maintained protections in America’s free trade
agreements. American negotiators specifically refused to
liberalize sugar and textile trade in DR–CAFTA out of fear that
Congress would not approve the agreement.
-
Sugar.
Many of America’s sugar
producers are not globally competitive. They remain in
business only through guaranteed prices backed by subsidized
loans, strict quotas, and market-strangling tariffs.
Consequently, Americans pay two to three times the average
world price for sugar—a direct transfer of wealth from
consumers to U.S. sugar producers.
In 1998, government support cost the U.S. economy about $900
million according to the U.S. Government Accountability Office
(GAO).[14]
The GAO further estimated that U.S.
consumers of sugar—sugarcane refineries, food manufacturers,
and final consumers— would have saved $1.9 billion in 1998 if
the U.S. had eliminated its sugar program.[15]
A 2004 study by the U.S. International
Trade Commission estimated that liberalizing the trade in
sugar would provide a net benefit of $1.09 billion to the U.S.
economy.[16]
U.S. sugar producers have successfully fought to maintain this
wealth transfer by opposing subsidy cuts, lower tariffs, and
elimination of quotas on foreign sugar. DR–CAFTA is no
exception. U.S. sugar tariffs (after quotas), which exceed 100
percent, will not change under DR–CAFTA. DR–CAFTA sets strict
quotas starting at 107,000 metric tons in the first year and
increasing to 151,000 tons over 15 years, about 1.4 percent of
2003–2004 U.S. prodcution in the first year.[17]
According to the U.S. Trade Representative,
“In the first year, increased sugar market access for Central
America and the Dominican Republic under the CAFTA–DR will
amount to about 1.2 percent of current U.S. sugar consumption,
growing very slowly over 15 years to about 1.7 percent of
current consumption.”[18]
The truth is that DR–CAFTA would only
negligibly affect U.S. sugar producers.
-
Textiles. As with
uncompetitive sugar producers, the U.S. government protects
U.S. textile and yarn manufacturers from international
competition and has done so for decades through high tariffs,
strict requirements on U.S. content in foreign garment
imports, and extensive quotas.[19]
These policies are often defended as necessary to protect jobs
in the U.S. However, textile protection is extremely
inefficient and costly.
As noted in 1992 by the Congressional
Budget Office, “the annual net welfare costs of these
restrictions to the economy (that is, the amount by which the
costs to consumers and the government exceed the benefits to
U.S. firms, workers, and the government) are in the range of
$3,600 to $19,200 for each job retained in the textile and
apparel industries.”[20]
A 2004 study by the International Trade
Commission estimated that liberalizing quotas and tariffs on
textiles and apparel would result in a net benefit to the U.S.
economy of $9 billion to $14 billion, of which approximately
$2 billion would be gained through eliminating tariffs.[21]
DR–CAFTA would permit garments made in the region to enter the
U.S. duty-free only if they are made from fabric or yarn from
regional producers.[22]
The free trade agreement is nearly
identical to the access that the Dominican Republic and
Central America already have through the United
States–Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership Act, except that it
would extend duty-free access to garments made with inputs
from Canada or Mexico— free trade partners with the U.S.
through NAFTA. In other words, DR–CAFTA would effect little
real change in U.S. policy toward the region on textile and
garment trade.
While the failure to fully liberalize trade in textiles and
garments is disappointing from a free trade perspective, U.S.
textile manufacturers should be delighted because DR–CAFTA
would help Central American manufacturers compete against
Asian competitors that export goods made with Asian textiles
and materials.[23]
The six DR–CAFTA countries are the third
largest purchaser of U.S. textiles.[24]
Many U.S. textiles and yarns are used in
local factories to make clothing that is then exported to the
U.S. This mutually beneficial trading relationship helps
manufacturers in the U.S. and in the DR–CAFTA countries.
Congress is
doing American consumers a disservice by failing to liberalize the
sugar and textile sectors, but Members of Congress should not
compound their error by rejecting a free trade agreement that
would have little impact on those favored sectors and that
promises economic gains for America.
Labor and
Environmental Standards.
Congressional opposition to DR–CAFTA
on the basis that the agreement is not strong enough on labor and
environmental standards also lacks merit. The agreement contains
provisions on labor and the environment that are virtually
identical to those contained in the Jordan and Morocco free trade
agreements, which essentially require America’s trade partners to
enforce their existing labor and environmental laws. If anything,
DR–CAFTA provisions in these areas exceed those in previous
agreements. Congress approved the Jordan and Morocco agreements by
large bipartisan margins. If Congress rejected DR–CAFTA over these
provisions, it would signal U.S. rejection of closer ties with
the region.
Conclusion
It is in
America’s economic interest to expand trade by lowering barriers
to goods and services in the U.S. and other countries. Trade is an
increasingly vital part of the U.S. economy from which Americans
have benefited tremendously.
The political
case for liberalizing trade is equally important. Countries that
adopt economic freedom, including market liberalization, tend to
grow faster than less free countries. Faster growth translates
into higher standards of living, less poverty, and more stable and
secure societies.[25]
DR–CAFTA will
be the first test on trade for the 109th Congress. The economic
and political arguments in favor of the Dominican Republic–
Central American Free Trade Agreement are strong. The agreement
would expand markets for Central America, the Dominican Republic,
and the United States. It would help to integrate these countries
into the global economy, encourage needed economic reforms, and
bolster positive political trends. Moreover, the agreement will
signal the entire hemisphere that Washington is serious about
market integration and helping its neighbors to develop.
As the first
vote on trade for the new Congress, DR–CAFTA will set the tone for
future debates. Congress should support DR–CAFTA based on the
merits of the agreement, but the potential long-term costs of
failing to support DR–CAFTA give the vote even more importance.
Brett D. Schaefer is Jay Kingham Fellow in International
Regulatory Affairs in the Center for International Trade and
Economics, and
Stephen Johnson is Senior Policy Analyst for Latin America in
the Douglas and Sarah Allison Center for Foreign Policy Studies, a
division of the Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for
International Studies, at The Heritage Foundation.
[1]Data
are in constant 1995 U.S. dollars. World Bank, World
Development Indicators 2004, on-line ed., at
publications.worldbank.org/WDI (February 4, 2005;
subscription required).
[2]U.S.
Department of Commerce, Office of Trade and Industry Analysis,
“Monthly Foreign Trade Data,” at www.ita.doc.gov/td/
industry/otea/usftd/index.html (February 4, 2005).
[3]Trade
data for December 2004 are not yet available. U.S. Department
of Commerce, “Monthly Foreign Trade Data.”
[4]Dan
Griswold and Daniel Ikenson, “The Case for CAFTA:
Consolidating Central America’s Freedom Revolution,” Cato
Institute Trade Briefing Paper No. 21, September 21,
2004, pp. 3–5, at www.freetrade.org/pubs/briefs/tbp-021.pdf
(February 4, 2005).
[5]World
Bank, World Development Indicators 2004.
[6]Press
release, “Dominican Republic Joins Five Central American
Countries in Historic FTA with U.S.,” Office of the U.S. Trade
Representative, May 8, 2004, at www.ustr.gov/Document_Library/Press_Releases/2004/August/
Dominican_Republic_Joins_Five_Central_American_Countries_in_Historic_
FTA_with_U.S.html (February 4, 2005).
[7]Business
Roundtable, “2005: A Crossroads for U.S. International Trade
Policy,”
January 2005, p. 7, at
www.businessroundtable.org/pdf/20050112002TradeTaskForce.pdf
(February 4, 2005).
[8]Press
release, “Dominican Republic Joins Five Central American
Countries in Historic FTA with U.S.”
[9]Data
are in constant 1995 U.S. dollars. World Bank, World
Development Indicators 2004.
[10]Ana
I. Eiras and Brett D. Schaefer, “Trade: The Best Way to
Protect the Environment,” Heritage Foundation Backgrounder
No. 1480, September 27, 2001, at www.heritage.org/Research/TradeandForeignAid/BG1480.cfm,
and Daniel T. Griswold, “Trade, Labor, and the Environment:
How Blue and Green Sanctions Threaten Higher Standards,” Cato
Institute Trade Policy Analysis No. 15, August 2,
2001, at www.freetrade.org/pubs/pas/tpa-015b.pdf
(February 4, 2005).
[11]Marc
A. Miles, Edwin J. Feulner, and Mary Anastasia O’Grady,
2005 Index of Economic Freedom (Washington, D.C.: The
Heritage Foundation and Dow Jones & Company, Inc., 2005), p.
2, at www.heritage.org/index, and John C. Hulsman,
Ph.D., Brett D. Schaefer, and Anthony Kim, “The Benefits of a
Global Free Trade Alliance,” in Miles et al., 2005
Index of Economic Freedom, p. 38–40.
[12]The
informal employment average includes the latest data from all
six DR–CAFTA countries while the underemployment figure is an
average of the Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, and
Honduras rates. International Labor Organization, Subregional
Office for Central America, Haiti, Panama and Dominican
Republic, “Decent Work Indicators Database,” at
www.oit.or.cr/estad/td/indexe.php (January 31, 2005).
[13]International
Labor Organization,“Decent Work Indicators Database.”
[14]This
is the net welfare estimate, which subtracts the benefits to
sugar producers from the overall cost to consumers. U.S.
Government Accountability Office (formerly General Accounting
Office), “Sugar Program: Supporting Sugar Prices Has Increased
Users’ Costs While Benefiting Producers,” GAO/RCED–00–126,
June 2000, p. 21.
[16]U.S.
International Trade Commission, The Economic Effects of
Significant U.S. Import Restraints: Fourth Update 2004,
Investigation No. 332–325, Publication 3701, June 2004, p.
20, at hotdocs.usitc.gov/docs/pubs/332/pub3701.pdf
(February 4, 2005).
[17]Office
of the U.S. Trade Representative, “Sugar: Putting CAFTA into
Perspective,” February 23, 2004, at www.ustr.gov/
Document_Library/Fact_Sheets/2004/Fact_Sheet_on_Sugar_in_CAFTA.html
(February 4, 2005).
[18]Office
of the U.S. Trade Representative, “Fact Sheet on Sugar in
CAFTA–DR,” January 26, 2005, at www.ustr.gov/
Document_Library/Fact_Sheets/2005/Fact_Sheet_on_Sugar_in_CAFTA-DR.html
(February 8, 2005).
[19]The
U.S. agreed to eliminate its quotas through the Agreement on
Textiles and Clothing (ATC), which entered into force along
with the World Trade Organization in 1995. The ATC requires
the United States, Canada, and the European Union to gradually
eliminate textile and apparel quotas by January 1, 2005. The
ATC supercedes the Multifiber Arrangement, which had set
global policy on textile and apparel trade since 1974. U.S.
International Trade Commission, The Economic Effects of
Significant U.S. Import Restraints, p. 60.
[20]Jan
Paul Acton, Assistant Director, Natural Resources and Commerce
Division, Congressional Budget Office, statement before the
Subcommittee on Asian and Pacific Affairs and the Subcommittee
on International Economic Policy, Committee on Foreign
Affairs, U.S. House of Representatives, April 29, 1992, at
www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=5012&sequence=0 (February 4,
2005).
[21]Most
of the gains would be through the elimination of quotas.
[22]Office
of the U.S. Trade Representative, “Free Trade with Central
America,” May 28, 2004, at www.ustr.gov/ Document_Library/Fact_Sheets/2004/Free_Trade_with_Central_America.html
(February 4, 2005).
[23]A
better alternative would be to eliminate requirements for the
garments to include U.S. textiles or yarn, which may not be
the most cost-effective source.
[24]Christopher
A. Padilla, Assistant to the U.S. Trade Representative, “The
Case for DR–CAFTA,” remarks to the San Antonio Free Trade
Alliance, San Antonio, Texas, November 05, 2004, at
www.uscafta.org/policy/view.asp?POLICY_ID=75 (February 7,
2005).
[25]Ana
Isabel Eiras, “Why America Needs to Support Free Trade,”
Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 1761, May 24,
2004, at www.heritage.org/Research/TradeandForeignAid/bg1761.cfm,
and Brett D. Schaefer, “Expand Freedom to Counter Terrorism,”
Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 1508, December 6,
2001, at www.heritage.org/Research/
TradeandForeignAid/BG1508.cfm.
|
|
|