IRVINE VALLEY COLLEGE

MARTHA STUFFLER
 

PROFESSOR of ECONOMICS
 SOCIAL and BEHAVIORAL SCIENCES
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS

Email Mstuffler@ivc.edu   Phone 949-451-5759

PREDICTIONS FALL 1999

WINNERS
KUNGOK KONG & ELSA TSUI 

  Congratulations to Kungkok Kong and  Elsa Tsui who are the winners with their predictions of a second quarter 2000 U.S. GDP growth of 4.6% and a June unemployment rate of 4.0%.  Since the actual second quarter GDP growth was 5.2%, Kungkok and Elsa were accurate to within .6%.  Twenty-one students correctly predicted the 4% unemployment rate for June 2000:  Kambiz Ahadi, Faiza Anwar, Sharron Chen, Tony Cheng, Robert Chu, Kungkok Hong, James Hu, Jennifer Johnson, Jacqueline Kimani, Alexander Lee, Josephine Liang, Chi-Hou Lin, Daniel Liu, Elaine Park, Jeff Pham, Christine Reyes, Michelle Santiago, Elsa Tsui, Michael Voorhees,Yu-Wen Wang, and Victoria Webb.  In comparing the predicted GDP growth rates to the actual rate, most students tended to underestimate the strength of the economic expansion.  Elsa and Kungkok each won two gift certificates to Edwards Imax theaters.      

Name

GDP

U

ABDELSAMAD, WALID

////

4.90

AHADI, KAMBIZ

2.70

4.00

ALHASAWY, WALID F

2.60

4.30

ANWAR, FAIZA

2.70

4.00

ATPHASOUK, SOUTVILAY

4.50

4.10

BEITOLLAHI, NANCY

4.40

3.20

BIVONA, BRANDON C

3.60

4.20

CAMPBELL, JON

////

4.49

CARRIGAN, NICHOLAS P

3.60

4.20

CAVAZOS, OSVALDO D

2.90

4.20

CHARLETY, DAMIEN R

-6.50

4.80

CHAUV, KHUN C

2.30

4.20

CHEN, DAVID

3.40

4.20

CHEN, SHARRON

3.49

4.00

CHENG, TONY K.S.

3.49

4.00

CHOU, IPIN

3.00

4.40

CHU, ROBERT G

1.30

4.00

CHUNG, JAMES

4.00

3.90

CONLEY, CHRISTOPHER

4.10

4.30

DANG, QUANG T

3.10

4.30

DUONG, ANN T.

3.10

4.30

FARDGHASSEMI, KAMYAR

4.10

4.10

HALL, BEN J

2.50

4.20

HAN, TAEHWAN T

2.50

3.90

HONG, KUNGOK

4.60

4.00

HU, JAMES C

3.49

4.00

IKEDA, MASAMI

3.50

3.90

JEFFERYS, BRIAN W

1.70

4.30

JOHNSON, JENNIFER LEA

2.70

4.00

KALENA, JENNIFER ANNE

3.20

4.80

KHOJASTEH, NIMA

2.90

4.30

KIM, BRIAN

4.80

4.30

KIM, MIN CHUL

2.50

---

KIM, SUK H

2.40

4.80

KIMANI, JACQUELINE

2.70

4.00

KIRA, HEE JUNG

2.29

---

KIRIHARA, MICHAEL A

4.50

4.30

LA, CAROLINE

3.10

4.30

LAY, AMRITZ S

3.10

4.20

LEE, ALEXANDER

1.30

4.00

LEE, RICHARD K

2.80

4.50

LIANG, JOSEPHINE YENFEI

3.49

4.00

LIM, JIN HA

1.90

4.10

LIN, CHI-HOU

3.49

4.00

LIU, DANIEL

3.49

4.00

LIU, HARRISON HONTSU

3.50

4.50

LOUIE, THOMAS W

3.90

5.60

MALAZARTE, BRIAN V

4.00

---

MARTINEZ, LETICIA A

4.10

4.30

MASON, MICHELLE S

3.50

4.40

MULLER, BRADLEY J

2.30

4.50

MUNROE, JENNIFER L

2.80

4.30

NARANJO, PATRICK S

4.10

4.20

NETERER, JASON A

5.80

////

NGUYEN, ANHTHU H

4.10

4.30

PARK, ELAINE S

2.70

4.00

PHAM, JEFF H

1.30

4.00

RADWAN, SALIM ADIB

1.20

4.10

RAMIREZ, MARIA S

4.10

4.30

RATANASEKSAN, SIRINUN

4.10

4.30

REYES, CHRISTINE S

2.70

4.00

RICE, CRAIG D

2.20

4.80

SANTIAGO, MICHELLE G

3.40

4.00

SATO, NATSUKO

5.10

4.10

SIGGINS, RICHARD T

4.20

4.10

TSUI, ELSA C

4.60

4.00

VOORHEES, MICHAEL

2.70

4.00

WANG, YU-WEN

3.49

4.00

WEBB, VICTORIA M

3.20

4.00

WILSON, KINUKO A

3.50

4.50

WOO, DAVID Y

3.50

4.50

THE STUDENT OR STUDENTS  WITH PREDICTIONS CLOSEST TO THE ACTUAL GDP RATE FOR THE SECOND QUARTER OF 2000 AND THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE FOR JUNE 2000 WILL WIN TWO TICKETS TO THE IMAX THEATRE. THE DECISION WILL BE BASED ON DATA REPORTED DURING JULY 2000. STUDENTS WHOSE PREDICTIONS WERE WITHIN A RANGE RATHER THAN EXACT VALUES ARE NOT ELIGIBLE AND STUDENTS WHO DID NOT MAKE PREDICTIONS ARE NOT INCLUDED IN THIS LISTING.